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Thematic research · AI infrastructure

Mapping dependencies in an AI infrastructure theme

The theme can be broad while each company’s revenue path remains specific. Research should show which equipment, contracts, suppliers, and capital spending carry demand to the asset.

Jason Zhao7 min read

Start with the revenue connection

This note considers a hypothetical thematic portfolio. Identify the customer, product, and contract unit before tracing compute, networking, power, and critical components upstream. The map separates direct beneficiaries from indirect exposure and mere label overlap.

Keep capacity apart from utilisation

New infrastructure does not create matching revenue on day one. Construction, power access, yield, software readiness, and onboarding can constrain utilisation. Show built, available, and contracted capacity separately.

Review financing and supply-chain constraints

Capital intensity introduces rates, deposits, delivery schedules, and supplier concentration. A sound demand view can still arrive later than expected if funding or construction stalls.

  • Critical equipment and alternative suppliers.
  • Power connection and build schedule.
  • Customer term and cancellation rights.
  • Source of capital expenditure and refinancing needs.

Return overlapping dependencies to the portfolio

Several assets may depend on the same chip, cloud customer, or spending cycle. Combine those links at portfolio level instead of letting different company names conceal concentration.